You need to solve a specific problem, and you have a lot of incomprehensible data in which the devil's foot will break? "Bayesian statistics" will tell you how to make the right decisions, using your intuition and simple mathematics It's time to forget about stupid and boring university lectures! This book will give you a complete understanding of Bayesian statistics literally "on your fingers" - with simple explanations and vivid examples . To find out , How to apply Bayesian approaches to real life , You are going to hunt for UFOs , You'll be playing "Lego" calculate the probability of survival of Han Solo when flying through an asteroid field Then you will know. How to determine the probability of , What if you are not sick? , Although , that googled all the symptoms of maternal fever. Applied tasks and exercises will help to consolidate the material and lay the foundation for working with a wide range of tasks: from incredible current events to daily surprises of the business world.